May  
2010

Vol 9 - No. 11


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CLIMATE CHANGE


 


Petersberg | Credit: BBR, Bonn

The 'Petersberg Dialogue'

BY JAYA RAMACHANDRAN (IDN)

 

Cochabamba in Bolivia, Thimphu in Bhutan and Petersberg in Germany are milestones on the bumpy road to Cancun in Mexico where climate diplomats hope not to have to suffer an unsavoury taste of Copenhagen.

The Copenhagen UN climate change conference in December 2009 ended up in a fiasco, accompanied by avoidable dissensions across country group barriers.

The latest milestone is Petersberg near Bonn that will host environment and climate ministers from about 45 countries, including UK, USA, France, Australia, India, Brazil, China and South Africa as well as the European Commission.

The so-called Petersberg Dialogue from May 2-4 has been convened by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Mexican President Felipe Calderón.

According to WWF International, the Petersberg Dialogue is a welcome initiative after the disappointing outcomes of the Copenhagen UN climate summit at the end of 2009 and the UN climate preparatory meeting in April 2010 – and ahead of the next round of formal negotiations under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, also taking place in Bonn from May 31 to June 11, 2010.

WWF is encouraged to see signals from the EU and BASIC countries – China, Brazil, South Africa and India – that they continue to seek progress under the UNFCCC, expecting a finalized legally-binding outcome at the latest at the Conference of Parties scheduled to take place in South Africa in 2011.

“Governments need to urgently give political guidance to put the UN climate negotiations back on track and end the vicious cycle of lack of trust and ambition” said Kim Carstensen, leader, WWF Global Climate Initiative.

“Ministers in Petersberg should direct negotiators to resolve important issues such as Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD), adaptation, finance, technology and the outlines of a mitigation framework by Mexico. This can create the trust needed to tackle the more difficult issues to put in place a final fair and ambitious legal framework in 2011."

Participants in the meeting in Petersberg need to also recognise the 'dangerous gap' between the emission reduction pledges made by countries since Copenhagen compared to the reductions needed to keep the world below 2°C warming and stabilize at 1.5°C in the long term. The emission reduction pledges by countries are all too low, says WWF.

Recent analysis by researchers show that current pledges would in fact lead to warming of above 3°C and possibly even close to 4 °C.

THE GAP

“The governments should acknowledge the gap between proposed emission reduction pledges and what is needed to keep warming below the danger zone. Governments should start a process that will look into how this gap should be filled. In particular more action has to be done by developed countries starting with the U.S. finalising their climate legislation.”

According to The German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU), the European Union member states should boost the credibility of their leading role in climate policy by developing the 20-20-20 Agenda into a 30-20-20 Programme – that is, by committing to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 30 percent, increase the share of renewables in primary energy consumption to 20 percent, and achieve 20 more energy efficiency, all by 2020.

The stated aim of 100 percent energy provision from renewable sources for Europe, a pro-active energy efficiency strategy and the resulting greenhouse gas emissions reductions of 80-95 percent by the year 2050 would generate important new momentum in the international climate process over the long term, the WBGU said in a policy paper submitted to the German government on April 29, 2010.

The Council is also of the view that local-level initiatives involving the cities and municipalities in climate alliances, along with engagement by the business community and change agents, should receive more intensive support and encouragement from politicians.

To speed up strategic innovation processes and cut the costs of Europe’s energy system, the Council recommends a Europe-wide system of feed-in payments for renewable energies. This would target financial support on locations with the best availability of each renewable resource.

"If global warming increases by more than 2 degrees Celsius, a situation that the 'Copenhagen Accord' could lead to, there is a 50 percent probability that the damages caused to our Mother Earth will be completely irreversible," stated the Peoples Agreement emerging from the World People's Conference on Climate Change and the Rights of Mother Earth in Cochabamba on April 22.

Between 20 and 30 percent of species would be in danger of disappearing. Large extensions of forest would be affected, droughts and floods would affect different regions of the planet, deserts would expand, and the melting of the polar ice caps and the glaciers in the Andes and Himalayas would worsen. Many island states would disappear, and Africa would suffer an increase in temperature of more than 3 degrees Celsius.

Likewise, according to the text of the Peoples Agreement, the production of food would diminish in the world, causing catastrophic impact on the survival of inhabitants from vast regions in the planet, and the number of people in the world suffering from hunger would increase dramatically, a figure that already exceeds 1.02 billion people.

"The corporations and governments of the so-called 'developed' countries, in complicity with a segment of the scientific community, have led us to discuss climate change as a problem limited to the rise in temperature without questioning the cause, which is the capitalist system," the Agreement noted.

"We confront the terminal crisis of a civilizing model that is patriarchal and based on the submission and destruction of human beings and nature that accelerated since the industrial revolution," it warned.

The conference in Cochabamba was attended by over 10,000 people from 135 countries and dozens of social organizations to what Bolivian President Evo Morales declared to be an alternative to the United Nations climate talks.

The main objective was to 'Save the Planet' by resorting to multifaceted actions: analyzing the structural causes of climate change, proposing alternative models for living more harmoniously within the ecosystem, discussing the Bolivian Government's proposal for a Universal Declaration for the Rights of Mother Earth, building a mechanism on an international referendum on climate change, and developing a proposal for an international Climate Justice Court.

FROM COCHABAMBA TO THIMPHU

Compared to Cochabamba, the Thimphu conference had set itself modest targets. It aimed at formulating a joint position of the SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) countries on tackling global warming that could be voiced effectively at the Cancun climate talks in December.

This was after leaders from India, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Pakistan, the Maldives, Sri Lanka and Nepal had finalised a regional convention on environment.

The desire to have a common SAARC position at the 16th Conference of Parties (COP) in Cancun, Mexico, was reflected in speeches of several leaders at the summit of the eight-nation grouping in the Bhutanese capital on April 28.

“While we have been deliberating on environment as a priority issue for a number of years, it will be a sad commentary on SAARC if we cannot present a well negotiated unified position at COP-16,” Bhutan Prime Minister Lyonchhen Thinley told the summit participants.

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh announced ‘India Endowment for Climate Change in South Asia’ to help member states meet their urgent adaptation and capacity building needs. He also proposed setting up of climate innovation centres in South Asia to develop sustainable energy technologies based on indigenous resource endowments.

Singh offered services of India’s Mission on Sustaining the Himalayan Ecosystem to the SAARC member states saying that the initiative could serve as a nucleus for regional cooperation in this vital area. He also lauded Bhutan’s efforts in combining development with conservation of the environment.

Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina pitched for a unified approach to climate change. “There is now need to lock in the key global players in COP16 at Mexico later this year for concrete commitments covering greenhouse gas emission cuts and guaranteeing fund and technology,” Hasina said.

Hasina also called for SAARC to establish a Himalayan Council modelled on the Arctic Council for assisting the affected countries in the region.

Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa said that the South Asian voice on this issue guided by the principle of common but differentiated responsibilities must be strongly heard in all international fora. “Those in the developed world who have historically contributed to the climate change must now bear the lion share of the burden to mitigate this phenomenon,” Rajapaksa said.

Pakistan Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani said: “we must also evaluate and take requisite steps to preserve the region’s eco-system and precious water resources". He also called for a Joint SAARC Study on Himalayan Glaciers to be commissioned.

On April 27, the SAARC Council of Ministers had agreed to seek observer status at the Cancun climate talks in December to better articulate the concerns of the region which is vulnerable to global warming.

 

[Source: IDN-InDepthNews | Analysis That Matters]

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