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Charles
Kindleberger
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The
Financial Market's 'Monkey'
BY
JULIO GODOY
When
asked about the causes of financial crisis, the U.S. economist Charles
Kindleberger used to reply with an expression he surely borrowed from
zoology: “Monkey sees, monkey does.” There is nothing worse than
seeing one’s neighbour becoming rich with uncanny wheelings and
dealings at the financial markets, while giving the impression of doing
nothing at all, he would add. One would naturally become envious and
inclined to do as the new rich neighbour does.
While
Kindleberger's first remark might appear to be too terse, it is correct,
but also partial and still very generous towards bankers and stock
exchange brokers, responsible for causing financial crisis.
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Indeed,
analysts of the stock exchange brokers' psychology noted long ago that
the heroes of the financial markets behave like a herd -- for all the
technological sophistication that surrounds them, their operators follow
the example of their peers. And even become rich by doing so.
But masked behind the misleading glamour of these flocks of lawyers and
economists is something worse than the stupid attitude of a monkey
copying the neighbour – without reflecting and without supporting its
own actions on rational grounds: The financial market's monkey is both
greedy and perfectly irresponsible.
By so being, both brokers and international financial markets summarize
the worst vices of neoliberalism. An evidence is the mortgage crisis in
the United States, which became a full-fledged global economic crisis
due to deregulation, lack of transparency in financial markets, and its
interconnection with all realms of the real economy, i.e. the production
of goods and services. No sector of the economy is so globalised and
deregulated as the financial market.
These features allow commercial financial institutions to operate
without any control, and design complex trade processes of equities,
swaps, mortgages, options, and so on, without worrying about national
borders or customs. This fatal casino also allows stock traders --
pension funds, hedge, banks, and the like -- to pocket extraordinary
profits, following the false slogan of "making the money
work".
While officially the purpose of financial markets is to allocate money
in the most efficient manner, and provide the real economy with
financial resources for investments at accessible costs and easy ways,
from its operations also regularly emerge perverse objectives: Make
money irresponsibly, even criminally. The Enron case proved it several
years ago. The banks and hedge funds -- with practices such as front
running -- these days too.
Stock brokers know that their high-risk operations in the virtual
financial economy involve destructive and incalculable consequences for
the real economy. They also know that as long as there is no crisis and
their rates of return remain high, they will earn the admiration of the
innocent, without having to fear any control over their operations.
And when the fatal mistakes intrinsic to their deeds become obvious, as
in the current crisis, central banks -- in other words, the state, the
tax payer -- will jump to their rescue, to limit the adverse
consequences for the real economy, by lowering the interest rates, by
making money available to banks and funds to enable them to continue
operating, by paying for the losses.
Sometimes all at once. It happened during the 1994 Mexican crisis, and
again in the global financial crisis of 1997 and in 2001. And it is
happening since early 2008. As long as governments do not have the
courage to regulate and restrain financial markets, it will happen
again.
MORAL HAZARD
This is what economists call moral hazard. Given that financial
operators take for granted that the state cannot afford let a major
financial crisis to make its destruction across the real economy, lest
it accepts to deal with a depression, and therefore has to act as lender
of last resort to socialize the financial losses, they act irresponsibly
and take all kind of risks.
Therefore the so-called liberalization of financial markets -- the
non-state intervention into its mechanisms -- only works one way: when
it yields profits. When the financial markets fail, it is the state that
has to throw the lifesaver. Such is the ethics of neo-liberalism. It is
the same ethics that considers taxes illegitimate -- until
neo-liberalism needs them, that is, other people's taxes.
The financial economy also disables all rational mechanisms
traditionally used in other areas of human economic action. For example,
in stock exchange transactions and up to the tipping point of crisis,
trade increases with prices and risks -- and not vice versa.
Usually, if, say, sugar prices increase, consumers will tend to reduce
their consumption of that good and search for replacement. Not in the
stock exchange markets: The higher the prices of shares, the best they
sell. In the mortgage crisis in the United States this discrepancy
between risk, price, and demand resulted in an absurdity: The higher the
risk a mortgage title carried, given that the debtor was actually
insolvent, the more were hedge funds willing to pay for it, making it
more profitable. But high-risk business only pays until the bubble
bursts.
This has led Jeremy Grantham, a manager of an investment fund in the
United States to emulate Kindleberger and make another contribution to
the zoology of international finance.
Grantham compared the stock exchange markets with a brontosaur that has
been bitten on the tail. "The pain slowly moves along the beast's
spine, until it reaches the animal's tiny brain," Grantham said.
Then and only then, the monster waggles, provoking an earthquake, and
chaos and destruction. After the shock, what remains is a ruined,
inhospitable landscape, full of monkey's money, enormous social losses,
and some extremely rich thieves.
[Source:
IDN-InDepthNews
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