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Manmohan
Singh breaks
New Path in India - Pakistan Relations
Dr
Sandeep Pandey 
The
worst fears of some of us have now been confirmed. Pakistani society,
politicians and media has always been talking about the involvement of
Indian intelligence agency RAW in fomenting trouble inside Pakistan .
First it was in Sindh, particularly in Karachi . Now people say there is
no doubt about Indian involvement in Balochistan and some say that RAW
is also supporting Baitullah Mehsud in NWFP. Questions are being raised
on unusually high number of Consulate offices opened by India in
Afghanistan . The involvement of CIA and Mossad is also not ruled out.
There is a speculation that Baitullah Mehsud could not have survived for
so long since the US drone attacks began if it was not for the support
of one or more of foreign intelligence agencies and/or military help.
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Asif
Ali Zardari has now openly admitted that the Talibans are creation of
Pakistan . The terror that Pakistan exported has now come back to it.
Until it was limited to NWFP it was not seen as a major problem. But now
that it has the potential of taking over Islamabad , Rawalpindi and
Lahore even the military and intelligence which were not too keen on
taking on the home grown terrorists have been forced, partly because of
US pressure but primarily due to threat it poses to them, reluctantly
but decisively to come around to confront them. When Zardari makes a
bold statement he obviously has the approval of military and
intelligence.
The terrorist groups in Af-Pak region whether al-Qaeda, Taliban or
Lashkar-e-Toiba were propped up by the US and Pakistani governments.
They received arms & ammunition, money and training from military
professionals. The association of terrorist groups with Pakistani
government during the military regime was so close that some former
military officials are part of terrorist set ups and terrorists have
infiltrated the Pakistani establishment. One reason why the governments,
whether Punjab or Federal, in Pakistan is reluctant to take action
against Hafiz Saeed, the LeT founder, is that he can become a cause of
much embarrassment for the establishment there if he decides to open his
mouth.
But the question is after the present Pakistani establishment has made
up its mind to confront the terrorist groups and US has relentlessly
pursued the terrorists even going to the extent of launching attacks
inside the sovereign territory of Pakistan, how are the terrorists
holding fort? One would assume that the lot which was trained to fight
the Russians would be old enough to be combatants now. So, even if there
is supply of money from Saudi Arabia or somewhere or plenty of drug
trafficking money is available, and there are youth from central Asia,
southern Punjab (Pakistani) and from all around the world ready to be
trained as jehadis who is providing them the training in use of modern
methods of warfare? Is CIA playing a double game? Peace in the area
would make the justification of US military presence in the region
untenable. And it is no secret that US wants to be involved not only in
the Af-Pak region but also in Kashmir . We’re not talking about George
Bush. We’re talking about Barack Obama. Even before Obama’a victory
results became public he had already announced his intention of
appointing a Kashmir aide. Why on earth is an uninitiated US President
interested more in Kashmir than his own country?
But what would be disturbing for most educated self-righteous middle
class Indians, who have always seen India as a peaceful country and
Pakistan as source of all trouble, is the revelation that India could
have a role in instigating violence inside Pakistan . The joint
bilateral statement issued from Sharm-el-Sheikh has reference to
Pakistan having information on threats to Balochistan. Pakistan sees it
as diplomatic victory. The response in India is that of shock,
especially from the hawks. But Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has
displayed rare courage and insight in saying that he is willing to
discuss any issue with Pakistan . He has also encouraged Pakistan to
take action against perpetrators of November 26, 2008, incident in
Mumbai without linking it to resumption of composite dialogue. As a
leader of the senior (in terms of experience with democracy) and bigger
nation only he could have been expected to be magnanimous. And he has
lived up to his role. He has breached the parochial approach which
constrains progress on India-Pakistan official relations.
Manmohan Singh has merely acknowledged something which is common
knowledge in Pakistan . But Pakistan will have to provide concrete proof
of RAW’s involvement in Balochistan or elsewhere in Pakistan just like
India has done in the case of Mumbai incident. But this is only a
trivial matter. It is an open secret that ISI and RAW have been working
at cross purposes.
What Manmohan Singh has achieved as a statesman is that he has set out
to define a new paradigm in which India-Pakistan relations will be
discussed. For the first time in the history of the two nations he has
laid the grounds for India and Pakistan to work together to solve the
common problems, including that of terrorism. The US has already given
an indication of this by asking India to provide help to Pakistan . And
why not? If India can develop close ties with Afghanistan and provide
financial help to it and Pakistan can derive help from the US , India
and Pakistan , if they can shed their historical baggage, can cooperate
as friendly neighbours. Pakistan , where receiving US aid is a
government policy now, can enjoy a more democratic relationship with
India . Can we conceive of RAW and ISI working together, like both of
them have a working relationship with CIA, to root out terrorism from
the region? Pakistan , being the smaller and more insecure of the two
nations, would warn up to India only if it feels comfortable. The long
adversarial relationship between the two has dried up all the trust.
Manmohan Singh has certainly made Yousuf Raza Gilani and Pakistan feel
that they can do business with India.
Dr
Sandeep Pandey
is a Ramon Magsaysay Awardee (2002) for emergent leadership, member of
National Presidium, People's Politics Front (PPF), heads the National
Alliance of People's Movements (NAPM) and did his PhD from University
of California, Berkeley in control theory which is applicable in
missile technology. He taught at Indian Institute of Technology (IIT)
Kanpur before devoting his life to strengthening people's movements in
early 1990s. He can be contacted at: ashaashram@yahoo.com. Website: www.citizen-news.org
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