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South Asia - Sri Lanka | January 2008

 


______________________________________________________________________________

 News Briefs

 

The LTTE Retreats



 (Afghanistan and Myanmar in the 
  map are not members of SAARC)

Uncertainties in the Minds of the International Community and Sri Lankans in the Aftermath of LTTE Leader’s Heroes’ Day Speech  

 

BY SATHEESAN KUMAARAN (IDN) *

I am conscious that an equal division of property is impracticable, but, the consequences of this enormous inequality producing so much misery to the bulk of mankind, legislators cannot invent too many devices for subdividing property Thomas Jefferson  

 

The leader of the LTTE, in his Great Heroes’ Day (Maaveerar) speech, broadcast from an unknown location in northern Sri Lanka on November 27, 2007, put much more weight than on previous occasions on the need for Tamils around the world to rally in solidarity with the Sri Lankan Tamils if negotiations with the Sri Lankan government break down and war results.  Such solidarity may very well determine the eventual destiny of the Tamils in Sri Lanka.  Furthermore, the LTTE leader, unlike on previous occasions, when his statements were directed solely toward the Sinhala nation, made it a top priority to blame members of the International Community (IC) for their failure to stand by the LTTE’s just and fair struggle to find a permanent solution, through peaceful means, for the liberation of East Timor and Montenegro, despite the fact that the Tamils in Sri Lanka have been fighting for justice, both militarily and peacefully, since the island gained its independence from Britain in 1948.

The LTTE Leader’s Earlier Heroes’ Day Speeches

Although LTTE leader Velupillai Pirapaharan has been addressing the general Tamil public since 1987, these annual policy speeches did not gain much in significance because the LTTE focussed on military tactics rather than on ending the ethnic conflict through peace talks.  The speeches of the LTTE supremo and, with them, the concerns of the Tamils of Sri Lanka began to get international attention only since November 27, 2002, when the IC and Tamils elsewhere around the world began to observe the Eelam problem closely because they wanted to know whether the parties in conflict would find a peaceful settlement.  The LTTE leader, in 2002, 2003, and 2004, urged the Sri Lankan government to enter into genuine peace talks with the LTTE, despite the fact that the LTTE and the Sri Lankan government had already entered into several rounds of peace talks in foreign countries under the Sinhala leaderships of Ranil Wickremesinghe of the UNP and Chandrika of the People’s Alliance.  LTTE leaders did not approve of the way the UNP leader, Ranil Wickremesinghe, handled the issues of the Tamils.   Wickremesinghe, they felt, failed to address the grievances of Tamils, even though the government negotiating team promised to create normalcy in northern and eastern Sri Lanka.  Ranil’s UNP was the mastermind in breaking the LTTE in Batticaloa.  The government at the time gave shelter to and accommodated an LTTE faction, under former-LTTE commander Karuna, in Batticaloa.  Ranil did so during a time of peace.  The LTTE was not in a situation to blame the Sri Lankan government alone because the issue involved an internal matter within the LTTE movement.  So, the LTTE leadership took quick action to expel the breakaway group and name its members traitors.  But the LTTE leadership did not forget the activities of the UNPers.  This was the not the first time the LTTE leadership had discerned a move to create internal fighting within the LTTE and, thereby, to weaken it.  The Indian government, for instance, did this, but without success.  India managed to infiltrate the LTTE, to use its second-in-command, Mahthaya, and to name a few other leaders; these attempts were foiled by members of the LTTE intelligence, led by Pottu Amman.  When Chandrika Kumaratunga came to power, she tried not to antagonize the LTTE.  Hence, she continued the peace process, but she did not enter into genuine peace talks.  She even managed to hoodwink the IC.  Chandrika’s government played a crucial role in 2004, when a tsunami hit countries adjoining the Indian Ocean, including Sri Lanka.  She did not permit former American presidents George Bush, Sr. and Bill Clinton or other dignitaries, such as United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan, to visit LTTE-controlled areas, even though many people in the Tamil areas in the north and east suffered from the effects of the tsunami, because she claimed their visits to these areas would sanction LTTE claims for a separate state.

In 2005, just nine days after President Mahinda Rajapaksa won the presidential race, the LTTE leader said he was willing to give Rajapaksa time.  The LTTE leader believed that, unlike other presidents of the country, Rajapaksa would be sincere and honest in pursuing a peaceful settlement to the ethnic issue.  The goodwill of the LTTE, however, was of no avail because the Sri Lankan armed forces began killing Tamils in the north and east.  The LTTE, in return, began defensive attacks against Sri Lankan troops.  One took place on December 4, 2005, when they killed 10 troops in an attack in Jaffna.  On December 5, 2005, they killed another four troops.  Sporadic clashes between the LTTE and the Sri Lankan armed forces continued, but the attacks were viewed by the LTTE as defensive one.

Things got worse in 2006, when the Sri Lankan armed forces captured areas controlled by the LTTE, thereby violating the Cease-Fire Agreement (CFA) signed between the LTTE leader and Sri Lanka’s premier, Ranil Wickremesinghe, in 2002.  In return, the LTTE launched defensive attacks, but refrained from launching major military attacks, except the one in Trincomalee.  The LTTE fighters returned to their camps, due to the pressure of the IC over violations of the CFA.  LTTE members once again proved they respected the CFA, but the government violated it many times.  The LTTE leadership took the issue to the IC, asking its members to exert pressure on the Sri Lankan government to refrain from capturing LTTE-held areas, as stated in the CFA.  The Sri Lankan government, however, did not follow the demands of the IC. 

On November 27, 2006, the LTTE leader, Pirapaharan, in his Martyrs’ Day speech, clarified the prevailing LTTE position.  He made a strongly-worded statement: “Both our liberation movement and our people never preferred war to a peaceful resolution.  We have always preferred a peaceful approach to win the political rights of our people.  We have never hesitated to follow the peaceful path to win our political rights.  That is why we held peace talks, beginning in Thimpu right through to Geneva, on several occasions, at various times, and in many countries”.  He also stated that Rajapaksa had rejected his final call, pronounced in his Heroes’ Day statement of 2005, to give more time to finding a resolution to the urgent Tamil National Question.  He added that Rajapaksa, instead, had intensified the war, even as he had claimed to want to find a peaceful resolution.  Pirapaharan noted this dual war and peace approach is fundamentally flawed: “It is not possible to find a resolution by marginalizing and destroying the freedom movement with which talks must be held to find the resolution. This is political absurdity on the part of the Sinhala leaders. Due to this strategy of the Rajapaksa regime, the CFA has become defunct”.  The LTTE leader added that Rajapaksa’s regime, which denied the people food and medicine, thereby starving them, could not be expected to show compassion and give the Tamil people their political rights.  He said that the Sinhala nation, eternally trapped in the mythical ideology of the Mahavamsa, has failed to think afresh and has left the Tamils with only one option, political independence and statehood for the people of Tamil Eelam.

The LTTE Leader’s 2007 Heroes’ Day Speech

The LTTE leader’s speech of November 27, 2007 was seen as important, even crucial, by all Tamils around the world and the IC for various obvious reasons.  First, Tamils the world over wanted to know what their leaders had to say because Tamils from other parts of the world could not pay a visit to their brethren in the north and east due to security reasons, the closure of roads, and unsafe air, land, and sea passages to the Tamil homeland.  Secondly, many Tamils from other parts of the world had gone to the Tamil homeland in Sri Lanka and their youngsters had married there; however, spouses had been left behind, waiting for foreign embassies to approve their sponsorship applications.  At the same time, many of the Tamils from abroad who had married in northern and eastern Sri Lanka and were forced to leave their spouses there were unable to make safe passage to Colombo, where their sponsorship procedures had to be completed.  Thirdly, some Tamils who visited Sri Lanka were abducted for ransom, and, on many occasions, the Sri Lankan armed forces or their sponsored militant groups kidnapped foreign Tamil nationals.  The Tamils around the world, therefore, yearned for a peaceful atmosphere.  The IC also wanted to ensure peace prevailed on the island for various reasons.  The war against extremists was taking place in the Middle East and in Afghanistan.  The Americans and their allies wanted safe sea passage through Sri Lanka from American and British bases in the Indian Ocean, especially from Diego Garcia, near Madagascar.  Neighbouring India wanted peace in Sri Lanka, even though India does not want greater autonomy for Tamils in Sri Lanka, fearing that greater autonomy for the Tamils in Sri Lanka will create internal problems for India; India especially fears that the Tamils in Sri Lanka will give moral and material support to the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, which could demand separation from India.  This latter myth has existed for quite some time in New Delhi.  The idea was first sown by the American Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), during the early 1980s, when Sri Lankan militant groups became leading players in the fight against the Sri Lankan armed forces and Tamil militants got training, money, and support from India.  China, Pakistan, Japan, Israel, and Russia are only a few of the countries that supported the Sri Lankan government for various reasons, including geo-political and security reasons, and that now also see the problem in Sri Lanka as critical.  The IC has economic interests in the region, especially with India; that makes Sri Lanka important.  The IC also wants to play a critical role in ending the conflict through peaceful means, in order to save the people from gross violations of human rights.

Whatever the consequences to the IC, it is important to highlight the speech the LTTE leader made on November 27 of this year because he said he had lost faith in the IC and urged Tamils throughout the world to stand behind him in the days, months, and years to come, days that will be the darkest for the freedom struggle because LTTE fighters are determined to liberate the Tamil Nation from the wrath of the Sinhala occupation.  The LTTE leader, this time, signalled clearly that the country was heading for a bloody, no-holds-barred war because the government has unilaterally broken the CFA, which, today, is only a paper document.  He sent two politically-laden messages to the south.  He stated that, since the CFA is no longer in force, everything and everyone is fair game and that he was going add to Rajapaksa’s woes by giving the JVP more teeth with which to call on the government formally to abrogate the agreement.  The day after the LTTE leader delivered his speech, the JVP did call on the government formally to abrogate the CFA.  That evening, a bomb explosion in the heart of Nugegoda killed 20 civilians and injured 36 more.  In addition, there was a suicide bomb attack, during the early hours of the same day, at the office of former Tamil militant leader Douglas Devananda, who is today a cabinet minister in the Rajapaksa government, even though his EPDP party members are wandering around the country with weapons.  For hours after the bomb attacks, the government, fearing a retaliatory attack based on the LTTE claim of 11 students being killed in a blast in the north, rushed to close all schools in the Western Province.  Vehicles were banned from entering the World Trade Centre and the Liberty Plaza shopping complex was searched following a bomb scare.  Over 18,000 police and army soldiers are guarding Colombo and its suburbs.  These security personnel are conducting door-to-door searches in the Sinhala south.  Over 3,000 Tamils have been arrested and put in prison, regardless of their age and gender.  All these people were taken to prison because they were born to Tamils.  The IC has not responded to the arrests made by the Sri Lankan government.  The IC, however, responded immediately, condemning the perpetrators of the November 28 attack on Nugegoda, an attack that killed 20 people. 

On the eve of Heroes’ Day, while the LTTE leader was preparing his speech, the Sri Lankan government flattened the building of the ‘Voice of Tigers’ radio in Kilinochchi.  Nevertheless, the ‘Voice of Tigers’ and other media outlets of the LTTE, as well as other broadcasting and television media around the world, aired the speech in full.  Although the building of the ‘Voice of Tigers’ radio was flattened in the raid, the ‘Voice of Tigers’ radio broadcast continued through a backup station.  Ten people at the radio station, including three employees, were killed.  Reporters Without Borders and some international media organizations described the attack as a war crime.  On the same day, 13 civilians in the north, including 11 children, were killed, allegedly by a deep penetration unit of the Sri Lankan army.  Defence secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa, brother of the Sri Lankan president, vowed his army forces would kill the LTTE leader soon.  Vowing to kill or arrest senior LTTE leaders is something Sri Lankan and Indian leaders have always done; in fact, this is difficult to do. 

With this context in mind, it is important to highlight another statement the LTTE leader made in his November 27 speech: “The immeasurable dedication and sacrifice of our heroes is delivering a message to the Sinhala nation. Those who plan to destroy the Tamil nation will in the end be forced to face their own destruction”.  He noted the LTTE’s aims: “We are struggling only to regain our sovereignty in our own historical land where we have lived for centuries, the sovereignty which we lost to colonial occupiers. We are struggling only to re-establish that sovereignty and rebuild our nation.  The Sinhala nation is continuing to reject our just and civilised demands for freedom.  Instead, it has declared a genocidal war on our land and our people.  Behind the smokescreen of fighting terrorism, it is creating immense human misery”.  Furthermore, he added: “Despite our people enduring injustice, oppression, facing death, destruction and massive displacement, no country, no nation, no international organisation has raised its voice on our behalf.  We face this situation alone because, although 80 million Tamils live all around the globe, the Tamils do not have a country of their own”.  Finally, the LTTE supremo announced his intention of renewed battle in the following terms: “Thousands of our fighters are standing ready to fight with determination for our just goal of freedom and we will overcome the hurdles before us and liberate our motherland.  On this day, when we remember our heroes, who sacrificed themselves for this sacred goal, let each one of us carry their dreams in our hearts and struggle until it is achieved”.

More importantly, the LTTE supremo castigated the IC for not taking active steps to prevent an outbreak of war that would then lead to a breakdown in the peace process; there is also an implication that the LTTE will no longer be mindful of international opinion when carrying out its operations. It is premature, at this stage, to judge whether the LTTE is being hypocritical in placing the entire blame on the government and the IC for the breakdown of the peace process; what is significant is the message that the country will witness a brutal war in the days ahead, a war wherein international norms will find no place.  Having dealt with the failure of the international community to enforce the peace process, the LTTE leader clearly stated that there is no way the peace talks can continue and indirectly pointed out that the only permanent solution is one founded on military means.  This is not due to the fact that he and his people are lovers of war, but that there is no alternative to military means in finding a permanent solution.  The people of all communities in Sri Lanka are sick and tired of the ongoing, sporadic clashes, and many civilians are suffering from economic and military burdens imposed on them under the guise of peace talks.  Extortions, killings, tortures, and rapes take place on a daily basis in the Tamil-dominated north and east and in Colombo. 

Rajapaksa, too, declared his intention to go to war with the LTTE.  However, both parties in the conflict refrain from declaring war because of the exertion of pressure from the IC.  Things have been changing, however, since the LTTE leader claimed the LTTE had lost faith in the IC.

This time, the LTTE leader spoke at length and publicly about India’s desire to be a regional superpower.  That is why, for geo-political and security reasons, India sent Indian armed forces, in the guise of a peacekeeping force, to the Tamil homeland in Sri Lanka.  He noted that India did not even get the consent of the Tamil nation before sending the armed forces.  India sent them to suppress the Eelam cause.  The LTTE leader is correct in stating that he was forcefully taken to New Delhi, with other Tamil leaders, before signing the Indo-Lanka Accord, in 1987, and that the Indian government then forced the LTTE leader to agree to receive the Indian armed forces without resistance.  The LTTE leader only agreed because he knew the mentality of New Delhi at that time and wanted to escape from the custody of Indian government.  He and others were then safely transported to Sri Lanka, but only after he gave his word not to launch attacks against the arriving Indian armed forces.  The LTTE fighters on the ground in Jaffna stopped preventing the Indian armed forces from landing.  By the time the LTTE leader and others arrived in Jaffna, the Indian armed forces were deployed throughout northern and eastern Sri Lanka.  Politicians in the southern Indian state of Tamil Nadu, including chief minister M. G. Ramachandran, told LTTE members not to heed the advice of New Delhi.  The Tamil Nadu premier told Pirapaharan and others to be careful when dealing with New Delhi and that, only if they were satisfied with the promises made by New Delhi, should the LTTE leadership approve the accord.  It is unfortunate Ramachandran died soon thereafter, whereupon many political changes took place in India.

   To be concluded

_____________

 

* Satheesan Kumaaran holds B.Sc. (Biology), Honours BA (Political Science) and MA in Integrated Studies  with the specialization in International Law and International Relations. This was first published in The Tamil Mirror. E-Mail: satheesan_kumaaran@yahoo.com

The LTTE Retreats


BY AJIT KUMAR SINGH
Research Assistant, Institute for Conflict Management

We are convinced that the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) is now weakened. 
We should not pass this ethnic problem to the next generation.
– Defence Secretary Gotabhaya Rajapaksa, September 27, 2007

With more than 4,000 deaths in 2007, Sri Lanka continues to be one of the most violent theatres of conflict in the world. Worse, the conflict can be expected to become the more intractable over the coming year.

 

In 2007, the security forces (SFs) continued to gain immense military victories and appear to have cornered the LTTE, so much so that the outfit, once controlling a large swathe of land in the Eastern Province and ruling the Northern Province, is looking for international intervention to save it from being totally wiped out of the map of the Island country. That the LTTE has been on the run and at its weakest ever in the history of its fight against the Sri Lankan State was also reflected in the annual Mahaveerar Thinam (Heroes’ Day) speech delivered by its chief Velupillai Prabhakaran on November 27, 2007. Instead of his customary war rhetoric, he complained that the "partisan and unjust conduct" of the international community "severely undermined confidence of Tamil people". Claiming, absurdly, that the LTTE has been ‘fighting non-violently’ and through ‘armed struggle’ for a very long time against national oppression, Prabhakaran asserted that the Tigers were not "terrorists committing blind acts of violence impelled by racist or religious fanaticism".

 

Meanwhile, the SFs continued their march into LTTE-held areas and are close to Wanni now. On December 7, 2007, Defence Spokesperson and Minister, Keheliya Rambukwella, informed Parliament that Kilinochchi was ‘within sight’, and therefore the Government would pursue the target of eradicating terrorism to create a democratic environment. The Minister said that the Government had won unprecedented military victories after 30 years of war and should not relinquish this advantageous position, adding, "If we let this chance go, the country will slip back to the position that existed 30 years ago."

 

Although there is not much of a difference between total casualties for the years 2006 and 2007, the breakup of fatalities clearly indicates a steady strengthening of state Forces. 2007 saw a dramatic decline in both civilian and SF fatalities, and a sharp escalation in terrorists killed, as compared to 2006.

 

Fatalities in Sri Lanka, 2006-2007

 

Year

Civilians

Security Force

Terrorists

Total

2006

949

752

2219

3920

2007*

515

483

3041

4039

* Till December 18. (Source: Institute for Conflict Management database)

 

Government troops, which commenced their operations in July 2006 in Mavil Aru, captured Vakarai Town in Batticaloa District on January 19, 2007. Further, on July 11, President Mahinda Rajapakse declared that the military had captured Thoppigala, the last remaining pocket of influence of the LTTE in the East, which had remained under effective rebel control since 1994. Earlier, the military had announced that its soldiers had reached the LTTE’s Baron’s Camp in Thoppigala and had declared, "With this victory, troops have captured the ‘nerve centre’ of the LTTE terrorists in their last stronghold in the Eastern province."

 

Validating the Sri Lanka Army (SLA) Commander Lt. Gen. Sarath Fonseka’s January 2, 2007, assertion that the Army would liberate the Eastern Province from the LTTE's hold and then proceed to liberate the Northern Province, the SFs then turned their attention to the North. The Army Commander had claimed "After eradicating the Tigers from the East, full strength would be used to rescue the North." Fighting there continues, with an average of 10 LTTE militants killed daily. The firefights along the currently held Forward Defence Line, both in the Jaffna Peninsula, north of the Elephant Pass, and along the mainland, north of Vavuniya, are now a continuous process, and SLA sources indicate that ‘long range operations’ deep into LTTE territory have also been initiated in a campaign of attrition intended to weaken the rebels in their final bastion. The Government, however, will have to strengthen its hold in the Eastern Province where, according to media reports, the Tamileela Makkal Viduthalai Pulikal (TMVP), the LTTE breakaway faction led by ‘Colonel’ Karuna, is attempting to consolidate power in Batticaloa and surrounding areas. On March 11, Karuna had accepted that he had areas under his control and claimed that his group was "involved in civil administration" in the Eastern Province of Sri Lanka. However, according to an October 19 report, after a survey of the civil administration of the East, Karu Jayasuriya, the Minister of Public Administration and Home Affairs, disclosed that the civil administration of East will be almost completely established by January 1, 2008.

 

In a decisive incident, on November 2, S. P. Thamilselvan, the political wing leader of the LTTE and its de facto number two, was killed in a Sri Lanka Air Force (SLAF) air strike at Thiruvaiaru, a location three kilometers South of Kilinochchi. The attack was based on ‘very reliable information’ identifying the location as a meeting place of LTTE leaders, giving the marauding forces their biggest success in the ongoing battle. Simultaneously, fighter jets also pounded a Black Tiger camp in the East of Iranamadu. Five other leaders ‘Lt. Col.’ Anpumani alias Alex, ‘Major’ Mihuthan, ‘Major’ Nethagy, ‘Lieutenant’ Adchgivel and ‘Lieutenant’ Vahakai Kumaran were also killed in the air strike. Their meeting place was subsequently confirmed as an international communications centre run by ‘Lt. Col.’ Alex, as well as a centre for logistics, arms procurement, fund raising and operational coordination. Following the attack, Defence Secretary Rajapaksa declared that the military would target the rest of the LTTE leaders and, "When the time comes only, we take them one by one."

 

In addition to its battlefield reverses, the LTTE has also been trying to cope with the international pressure exerted by countries across the globe, with reports claiming that the LTTE’s activities were no longer confined to Sri Lanka. There was some evidence of emerging commercial links between the LTTE and al Qaeda. On May 17, the Sri Lankan Ambassador to the USA, Bernard Goonetileke, stated that the LTTE has stolen 130,000 Norwegian passports and sold them to the "highest bidders" including al Qaeda operatives. He said, "One of them [LTTE cadre] surfaced with 700 of the stolen passports in Thailand and got caught to the police." During the year, there have been some arrests of LTTE top leaders in various countries, including:

 

April 6: The leader of the LTTE’s branch in France since 2003, Nadarajah Mathinthiran alias ‘Parathi’ and Thuraisamy Jeyamorthy alias ‘Jeya’, who were in charge of the money collections in France, were among 17 LTTE suspects arrested by the French authorities.

 

April 25: The ‘director’ of the LTTE in New York, Karunakaran Kandasamy, was arrested by the FBI in Queens. He was arrested on Federal charges of providing material support to a foreign terrorist organization.

 

May 1: Two LTTE leaders in Australia – Sivaraj Yathevan, in charge of Eela Murasu, a Tamil community paper, and his aide Arooran Vignanamoorthy – who had access to AUD 526,000 in two bank accounts between August 2001 and December 2005, were arrested during raids conducted on 10 premises in Melbourne’s east — at Vermont, Glen Waverley, Mount Waverley, Dandenong and East Burwood — and in the Sydney suburbs of Toongabbie and Parramatta.

 

The depleted LTTE has, nevertheless, carried out several lethal attacks in Sri Lanka (including the first ever aerial attack, followed by four others, mainly targeting the capital Colombo. There was an ill-considered Government backlash in response, and on June 1, Tamils from the north and east staying in various lodges without jobs in Colombo were asked to go back to their homes in view of the security situation. This briefly escalated ethnic polarization, which could well have been exploited by the LTTE, but the Government quickly realized its mistake, after the intervention of the Courts, and performed a U-turn, asking the Tamils to stay on.

 

Some of the major LTTE attacks in 2007 included:

 

January 5: At least six passengers were killed and 63 were wounded in a bomb blast inside a bus bound for Giriulla from Nittambuwa in the Gampaha District.

 

January 6: At least 16 persons were killed and 40 injured, as a second explosion occurred in a bus in a span of less than 24 hours in the Galle District, over 80 kilometres from the national capital Colombo.

 

February 27: Italy’s Ambassador, Pio Miriani, and US Ambassador Robert Blake were injured in mortar firing by the LTTE, targeting an air movement carrying Disaster Management Minister Mahinda Samarasinghe, along with a few foreign diplomats in Batticaloa.

 

March 26: Carrying out their first ever air attack on the main Sri Lankan Air Force base in Katunayake at Colombo, the LTTE killed three Air Force personnel and injured 17 others.

 

April 29: An LTTE aircraft bombed oil and gas storage facilities in and around Colombo. One of the two bombs dropped on Shell’s Muthurajawela Gas Storage Facility caused minor damage to the fire guard equipment while the other damaged the water supply. The two bombs dropped on the Kolonnawa Oil Storage Depot failed to explode.

 

May 28: Seven civilians were killed and 42 persons, including 36 civilians, sustained injuries, in an LTTE-triggered claymore mine explosion at Belekkade Junction in the Rathmalana area of the capital Colombo.

 

October 22: Elite Army troops of the Special Forces confronted LTTE cadres who infiltrated and carried out a suicide attack on the SLAF base at Anuradhapura and evicted them from the premises killing 20 militants. Nine SF personnel, including two officers, were killed and 20 others wounded in the encounter. Subsequently the LTTE carried out an aerial attack, dropping two shells damaging two MI 24 helicopters parked in a hangar. Another BELL-212 helicopter, which was to reinforce SLAF fighter craft resisting LTTE air movement, had to crash-land at Doramadalawa area, closer to Mihintale, due to a technical fault, killing both pilots and two gunners. This was the first time the outfit had carried out a combined air and ground attack.

 

November 28: The EPDP leader and Minister for Social Welfare, Douglas Devananda, escaped unhurt when a polio-affected woman suicide cadre of the LTTE blew herself up at his office at Isipathana Road in the Narahenpita area of Colombo.

 

At least 19 civilians were killed and 35 others injured as a suspected parcel bomb exploded near a popular fashion store at Nugegoda junction near Colombo around 5.55 pm.

 

There were six suicide attacks carried out by the LTTE in 2007 as against 12 in the previous year.

 

The LTTE has collected rich resources for its campaigns. Sri Lankan Foreign Secretary Palitha Kohona stated, on May 1, 2007, that the LTTE internationally raised approximately USD 10 million to USD 30 million a month, of which almost 20 to 30 per cent came from Australia. Corroborating these claims, the London-based Jane’s Intelligence Review stated that the LTTE had not only created one of the most sophisticated insurgencies in the world but also has an annual ‘profit margin’ of USD 200 to USD 300 million. Despite the Government proscribing the Tamil Rehabilitation Organisation on November 22, having earlier frozen its accounts, the LTTE retains various sources to replenish its coffers.

 

The ongoing war has had an adverse impact on social, political and economic conditions in Sri Lanka. According to the Minority Rights Group International 2007 report, human rights in Sri Lanka reached a ‘crisis point’ in 2007, with numerous reports of extra-judicial killings, disappearances and abductions. The Sri Lankan human rights groups reported that some 662 people had been killed and 540 people have disappeared between January–August 2007. A vast majority of them were Tamils, while some were Muslims. The UNHCR office in Sri Lanka stated, on October 26, that 190,669 individuals of 51,908 families had been displaced in 2007 due to the ethnic conflict. The highest number of displacements was reported from Kilinochchi District – 48,512 persons. Another 38,230 individuals were displaced in the Batticaloa District while 32,323 individuals were displaced in Mullaitivu District. On August 17, the Japan International Cooperation Agency, which was due to donate medical equipment worth millions of rupees to hospitals in the North, called off their mission due to protection money demanded by the LTTE, a clear indication of the worsening situation. A South Asian Watch group on the use of small arms disclosed, on October 28, that there were over 1.3 million illegal weapons in use in Sri Lanka, adding that the availability of illegal small arms had led to the escalation of the rate of crime on the island.

 

Inflation in Sri Lanka is currently pegged at 17 percent, the unemployment rate is 6.2 percent, there is a budget deficit of 8.4 per cent and Defence spending is at USD 1.3 billion. The Sri Lankan Rupee (LKR) has fallen by around three percent this year against the US dollar, while other currencies in the region have risen. The tourism industry has taken a hammering, and there is widespread apprehension among the people of difficult times ahead.

 

On the political front, the Southern consensus which had emerged in October 2006, finally came to a disappointing end on January 29 with the main opposition group, the United National Party's (UNP) announcement that the political pact it signed with the ruling Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) in October 2006 was invalid in the aftermath of President Rajapakse’s induction of 19 defectors from the UNP into the Government. More recently, on December 12, the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress leader Rauff Hakeem said that he and three other parliamentarians had decided to leave the Government as it had failed to guarantee the rights of the Muslim community. These are a major setback to the Rajapakse regime which had, in the fag end of 2006, garnered the support of Southern political parties to deal with the LTTE.

 

On a positive note, despite the upswing in violence, the country expected to record its fastest growth in nearly three decades, according to the Central Bank. With USD 530 million already received in foreign direct investment (FDI) by August, total FDI is projected to substantially exceed the total of USD 600 million in 2006. Foreign reserves were up at USD 2.8 billion in April 2007, from USD 2.5 billion in April 2006. With vast stretches of land cleared of the LTTE in the North and East, agricultural activities are bound to increase. Government control over these areas can enhance trade because, being an island nation, most of the trade activities are carried on over the seas, on which the LTTE had greater control till its recent reverses. Meanwhile, some political parties which had been intimidated into passivity over the past years have resumed their activities in the country. On April 20, the Defense Ministry said that the Eelam Revolutionary Organisation, a mainstream Tamil political party, which had been silenced since 1990 after continuous death threats from the LTTE, decided to actively restore functions as a democratic Tamil Front.

 

There are no prospects of peace emanating from anywhere. On April 12, Defense Secretary Rajapakse declared that Sri Lanka's cease-fire had "no meaning" and that it was only being left in place to satisfy the international community. Further, on May 31 Defense spokesperson and Minister Rambukwella stated that the Ceasefire Agreement, which now holds only on paper after breaking down on the ground last year, no longer reflected reality. Earlier, on February 12 President Mahinda Rajapakse, in an interview with the BBC, had said that the Government's peace pact with the LTTE was a mistake. "Today we realise we have made a mistake. Through the peace pact, we've demarcated areas called LTTE controlled areas, and they have taken over the rights of the people through this pact. In the LTTE controlled areas, no political parties can function, people cannot walk anywhere in freedom, and the children are being forced to join the armed forces of the LTTE. These rights should be given back to the people."

 

With the public opinion progressively hardening in favour of continued military operations, more bloodshed can be expected in Sri Lanka, already among the most violent places in South Asia.

[Source: South Asian Intelligence Review]

News Briefs

LTTE chief injured in air attack: The LTTE chief, Velupillai Prabhakaran, was wounded in an air strike on November 28, 2007 by security forces shortly after his annual policy broadcast, The Nation reported on December 16. The report stated that Prabhakaran was wounded in an underground bunker in the northern District of Kilinochchi. "A section of the bunker had crumbled and some falling debris had struck the LTTE leader," the newspaper said, quoting sources in the LTTE-held territory. The paper added that Prabhakaran, who delivered his annual policy statement a day earlier, was treated at an underground medical unit and recovered fully from "minor" injuries. There has been no reaction so far to the report either from the LTTE or Sri Lankan defence authorities. AFP, December 10, 2007.

17 civilians killed in bomb blast in Colombo: At least 17 civilians were killed and 37 others injured as a suspected parcel bomb exploded near a popular fashion store at Nugegoda Junction near Colombo at around 5.55 pm on November 28, 2007. Police believe that the bomb had been placed in one of the parcel counters at the No Limit clothing store by a suspected Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) militant who had left the incident site. "The explosion was due to a suspicious parcel bomb kept in the parcel counter of the No Limit fashion shop," military spokesperson Brigadier Udaya Nanayakkara said. Daily News, November 29, 2007.

Peace with Government impossible, declares LTTE chief Velupillai Prabhakaran: The Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) chief Velupillai Prabhakaran declared, in his annual ‘Hero’s Day’ speech on November 27, 2007, that peace with the ‘genocidal’ Government was impossible. According to him, "The Sinhala nation is... trying to destroy the Tamil nation. It is unleashing unthinkable violence against another people. It only desires to find a solution to the Tamil question through military might and oppression." He said, "The current Government is never going to realize that the Tamil national question cannot be resolved by military oppression. All the Sinhala political parties are essentially chauvinistic and anti-Tamil. To expect a political solution from any of these Southern parties is political naivety." He declared, further, "Those who plan to destroy the Tamil nation will in the end be forced to face their own destruction." Making an appeal to the international community to change its approach to the Sri Lankan Government, he claimed that the world today is making the same mistake India made vis-à-vis Colombo several years ago. The Hindu, November 28, 2007.

Minister Douglas Devananda escapes unhurt in suicide attack in Colombo:The Eelam People’s Democratic Party leader and Minister for Social Welfare, Douglas Devananda, escaped unhurt when a polio affected woman suicide cadre of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) blew herself up at his office at Isipathana road in the Narahenpita area of Colombo on November 28, 2007. While the Minister was in his office waiting to see members of the public, the woman was allowed to get into the office complex unchecked considering her disability, but the Public Relations Officer (PRO) of the Minister conducted checking on the physically challenged woman along with others who had come to see the Minister. However, the disguised LTTE woman cadre blew herself up when the physical checking was being done by the PRO. The blast critically injured the PRO, one Ministerial aide and one officer of the Ministerial Security Division, who succumbed to his injuries later. Daily News, November 23, 2007.

[Source: South Asian Intelligence Review]


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